2010's Top15 Fantasy Rookies by: Total Points per Games Played (Games Played in Paranthesis)
1. Sam Bradford 15.55 (16 games)
2. Mike Williams, TB 14.40 (16 games)
3. Colt McCoy 13.72 (8 games)
4. Tim Tebow 12.98 (9 games)
5. Jahvid Best 12.64 (16 games)
6. Ryan Mathews 12.36 (12 games)
7. LeGarrette Blount 12.32 (13 games)
8. Dez Bryant 11.76 (12 games)
9. Aaron Hernandez 10.16 (14 games)
10. Rob Gronkowski 10.04 (16 games)
11. Chris Ivory 8.94 (12 games)
12. Jimmy Graham 8.78 (11 games)
13. Jermaine Gresham 8.14 (15 games)
14. Tony Moeaki 8.04 (15 games)
15. Jimmy Clausen 7.50 (10 games)
Scoring System: 1 point per 25 yards passing, 6 points per passing touchdown, -1 point per interception, 1 point per 10 yards receiving/rushing, 1 point per reception, 6 points per touchdown rushing/receiving, -1 point per fumble lost, 5 bonus points per 300 yards passing or 100 yard receiving or rushing game.
The numbers prove that there was really only one rookie in 2010 who was worth drafting in order to fill a full-time starting position on your fantasy team. That would have been Tampa Bay WR Mike Williams. QB Sam Bradford, while enjoying a solid season, still had over 20 other QB's rank higher than him in fantasy points per game. RB's Jahvid Best, Ryan Mathews, and LeGarrette Blount would have served as ample back-ups on your fantasy roster, as would WR Dez Bryant and a full selection of middle-of-the-road tight ends, but the point clearly becomes: DON'T USE YOUR TOP DRAFT PICKS ON ROOKIES!
Those who were drafting Ryan Mathews in the 1st and 2nd rounds last year must have felt quite foolish as the season wore on. Every now and then a rookie does manage to post up big league numbers his 1st season in the league, but the proposition is always a risky one. Something else to note is the issue of durability, with only 4 of the top15 rookies listed playing in all 16 games of the season. Again, be hesitant to expect much fantasy-wise from NFL rookies...it can't be said enough.
Then again, kudos to those who drafted Mike Williams in the late rounds of their drafts last year...
Tuesday, May 3, 2011
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